Clean transport, driven by data.
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WHAT WE DO
We are increasing the pace of the clean energy transition with a focus on road transport - one of the largest sources of greenhouse gases and air pollution. We use data to tell persuasive stories, informing the public and influencing policy development. We help people understand the biggest revolution in personal transport since the time of Henry Ford and how it can benefit them.
Latest blog posts
Data from the European Alternative Fuels Observatory shows that most countries are on course for the EU’s targets on public chargepoint provision - one of the very small number of laggard countries is 17 miles long and 9 miles wide, so perhaps has slightly different needs. But it doesn’t matter - the EU’s targets are too low, and we should be aiming for a figure 8 times higher invented by an automotive trade body which they’ve never evidenced.
Those toeholds are significant. Manufacturers need to retain them and grow them, or say bài bài to the Chinese market -25 million car sales every year, twice as many as Europe - for good.
As reported in our latest Global EV Tracker webinar, US battery electric vehicle sales - shown below - exceeded the EU’s in the last quarter, the first time this has happened.
Is consumer demand for EVs fading? Or is the automotive sector in such crisis that only being able to sell petrol and diesel cars for a few more years able to save it?
It’s neither. Let’s debunk this.
Our CEO Ben Nelmes reflects on Labour's conference in Liverpool and the prospects for the clean energy transition under Britain's new Labour government
Afflicted with the twisted ideology of “saving a lot of money”, “enjoying the driving experience” and “doing their bit for the environment”, seemingly unwanted electric cars have started to appear in driveways and on the streets, and virtue-signalling zealots have been sighted behind the wheel, disguised as ordinary members of the community.
Five charts caught our eye, in the European automotive industry trade body’s latest statistical publication earlier this month. You can read the other 60 or so charts in the ACEA Automobile Industry Pocket Guide 2024/25.
Many more European countries than commonly thought are very exposed to the fortunes of the car industry.
The previous blog showed how well EV take up was following an S-curve (mathematically, a logistic function), in developed markets with stable and unstable policy environments, and in emerging markets. This blog turns to the UK’s experience.
The theory of diffusion of innovations was popularised by Everett Rogers in a book of the same name in 1962. Rogers argues that diffusion is the process by which an innovation is communicated over time among the participants in a social system.
Tariffs. Like, do they work? Are they working in the EU context? Should the UK follow the EU’s lead and impose them on Chinese made vehicles?
It depends on what you are trying to achieve, but if the goal is about protecting domestic manufacturers from unfair competition and accordingly grow their domestic market share, the early evidence from the divergent pathways of the UK and the EU are, respectively, no. No. And no.
Our CEO reflects on the source of widespread belief in misinformation about the environmental impact of EVs
EVs missed out when India’s Finance Minister presented the Union budget for 2024-25 on 23 July. There were hopes that the Indian government would announce the details of the much anticipated FAME-III package to support the uptake of electric vehicles. But what is FAME, and what impact has it had on EV registrations to date?
To hear some parts of the media talk, EVs are solely the preserve of the tofu eating wokerati. Judging by the latest vehicle licensing statistics published earlier this week, either the wokerati have made a great exodus from their metropolitan hideouts or interest has spread to the quorn and edamame set too.
Well, maybe novelist Angela Carter wasn’t thinking about the EV market in 35 years’ time when she wrote those words. Perhaps broadcaster and writer Clive Anderson’s words are more appropriate to a blog on the European car market and the challenge presented by the emerging markets of Asia and South America:
Private ownership of EVs hit record highs in 2023, according to our analysis of new data from the Department for Transport. Read our latest analysis of the true picture behind the headlines.
EV in Focus recently noted that while Elon Musk may demand that his firm “should be thought of as an AI or robotics company — if you value Tesla as just like an auto company… it is just the wrong framework”, Tesla no longer has the luxury of promising automated driving jam tomorrow without a near-term roadmap for growing demand for its cars.
Rather than it being the end of EVs, sales of battery electric cars are still increasing in the vast majority of markets, and in some markets extremely fast. (We are talking pure battery electric vehicles - plug-in hybrids, which are less efficient and have tailpipe emissions, exacerbating climate change, are not included.
Gov.uk published its latest quarterly report on public charge point rollout at the end of last month. Amongst the doom and gloom on EV sales (up 42,000 in the year to March 2024 on the previous 12 months, purchase costs down, savings of £1000 a year on running costs, that kind of thing), it’s good to hear that it hasn’t damaged charge point operator confidence.
‘Clean Cars for Carers: enabling rural care workers to switch to electric cars’ New report from the climate action campaign group Possible published 1 April 2024
A lot of reports have made much of the fact that a few London boroughs have more chargers than several large metropolitan areas in the Midlands and the North. This makes great copy but overlooks that London has a lot more EVs than other cities, and very few driveways. In fact the chart above shows that public charge points are increasing steeply everywhere. Annual growth in chargepoint numbers in 2023 was 45%.
Purchase price parity for EVs has variously been tipped to be achieved in Europe in 2024 by Exeter University, 2025 according to Goldman Sachs, the mid-2020s according to the International Energy Agency or 2030 according to the CEO of Ford. But sometimes it is worth looking up from down the road, and at what we can see for certain: how much EVs cost - and can save - consumers right now.
The total number of battery electric cars on UK roads at the end of 2023 just missed the 1 million mark. This milestone came just into 2024, meaning BEVs now account for approximately 3% of the total car parc in the UK. Although a record number of motorists switched to electrified transport over the year, there is a mountain to climb before this starts to drastically affect the car parc’s overall makeup. We estimate that this number will grow further - to 1.2 to 1.3 million, approaching 4% - by the end of 2024.
“Tomorrow, and tomorrow, and tomorrow, creeps in this petty pace from day to day”, which is a pretentious way of saying that sometimes the sound and fury of monthly EV sales figures and their selective dissection sometimes signifies nothing. Or if not quite nothing - after all, that’s why New AutoMotive produces its monthly Electric Car Count, Electric Van Count and all new Global EV Tracker - you can still risk losing the site of the bigger picture.
As our State of the Switch report 2024 shows, 2023 saw a record number of battery electric vehicles registered in the UK, in a period of growth for the whole car market. The total number of EVs registered in the UK over 2023 was 297,890. This is 18.5% higher than the number registered in 2022 which stood at 251,406.
We were delighted to be invited to present some of our work to representatives from Europe’s automotive industry at the DRCC conference in Munich in March 2024
How the UK can accelerate emissions reductions and boost energy security by getting high mileage drivers to go electric
EXPLORE OUR DATA TOOLS
Our data gives unique insights into the transition away from fossil-fuelled transport, helping businesses and governments plan.
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We publish monthly updates on the UK car market. We break down the registrations by fuel type and brand, as well as measuring market growth.
Go to Electric Car Count -
The ECC API provides instant access to UK new car registrations, updated monthly - providing strategic insights on demand.
Go to ECC API -
We are tracking key car markets, covering around 85% of global car sales, and bringing you the very latest in the biggest transition in personal transport since the time of Henry Ford.
Go to Global EV Tracker -
We help consumers understand the market and make the switch to electric through Electric Car Guide. Compare how much you could save using your reg.
Go to Cost Savings Calculator
GLOBAL ELECTRIC VEHICLE TRACKER
Explore 85% of the global car market and analyse the EV transition worldwide
We are tracking key car markets, covering around 85% of global car sales, and bringing you the very latest in the biggest transition in personal transport since the time of Henry Ford.
Sign up to receive our new Global EV Tracker bulletins, webinars, and news.
RESEARCH
The transition to electric transport is complex - our in-depth research brings clarity
Our briefings, policy papers, and reports dig into the data and provide expert insight and analysis on the current state of the switch.